Pest & Disease Early Warning
Disease Risk v1.5 · drone NDVI, census, weather and trap data · 5 threats monitoredAll operations
5 warnings · 3 HIGH
Risk heatmap
Probability of economic damage in 90 days · top 14 blocks by risk
| Ganoderma | Bagworm | Rhinoceros beetle | Nettle caterpillar | Rat | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B27 | 14% | 77% | 18% | 10% | 17% |
| B17 | 72% | 4% | 22% | 5% | 17% |
| B45 | 12% | 24% | 63% | 6% | 25% |
| B12 | 58% | 25% | 19% | 11% | 23% |
| B46 | 44% | 14% | 23% | 23% | 19% |
| B14 | 4% | 30% | 11% | 8% | 8% |
| B03 | 16% | 29% | 8% | 4% | 8% |
| B42 | 25% | 29% | 22% | 10% | 6% |
| B20 | 11% | 28% | 16% | 15% | 23% |
| B23 | 5% | 17% | 18% | 28% | 12% |
| B24 | 28% | 21% | 22% | 16% | 6% |
| B16 | 18% | 27% | 25% | 16% | 4% |
| B44 | 27% | 19% | 16% | 14% | 16% |
| B47 | 14% | 27% | 8% | 18% | 21% |
Click a cell to open Block 360.
Risk map
Colour = max pest/disease risk vs 40% threshold
Loading map…
< 30%30–40%≥ 40% (alert)≥ 60% HIGH
Early warnings
Block × threat pairs at or above 40%
| Block | Disease / pest | Probability | Severity | Recommended inspection | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B27 Estate C | Bagworm | 77% | HIGH | Larval census; trunk injection if > 5/frond | |
| B17 Estate B | Ganoderma | 72% | HIGH | Field inspection + palm census | |
| B45 Estate E | Rhinoceros beetle | 63% | HIGH | Pheromone trap check; EFB heap sanitation | |
| B12 Estate B | Ganoderma | 58% | MEDIUM | Field inspection + palm census | |
| B46 Estate E | Ganoderma | 44% | MEDIUM | Field inspection + palm census |
Historical incident trend
Confirmed field incidents per month · group
Early-warning summary
Confidence78%B17 Ganoderma 72% (HIGH) — drone NDVI shows a canopy-thinning cluster in the NE corner; adjacent B12 is at 58%. Schedule a field census within 7 days and isolation trenching around confirmed palms. Bagworm incidents have risen for 6 consecutive months (24 in Sep vs 13 in Apr) — dry-season outbreaks favour larval survival; census before the October generation emerges.
Model output is decision support; field confirmation required before treatment.