Block B46 — 360° view

Estate E · Division 2 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Watch

Area33.4 ha

Age27 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 305

Forecast14.1 t/ha

Gap−9.0%

Harvest round10 d

Ganoderma44%

NDVI0.67

Replant rank#1 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence87%

Predicted FFB

14.1

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

15.5

t/ha · budget

Gap

−9.0%

−1.4 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

14.1

Target

15.5

Actual (last 12 m)

14.3

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

−2.1

Disease / pest pressure

−0.4

Harvesting interval

−0.3

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

−0.2

Fertilizer timing

+0.1

Vegetation index (NDVI)

−0.1

Soil moisture

0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±1.6 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age27 yr (planted 1999)

Historical yield14.3 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)200 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)−8% vs normal

Temperature27.4 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.30 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval10 days

Planting density143 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsAlluvial

Pest incidents3 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.67

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B46 is below plan

Confidence87%

Forecast 14.1 vs 15.5 t/ha (−9.0%). Largest negative driver: Palm age / maturity (-2.14 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Ganoderma census & sanitation

Field census within 7 days; isolate trenching and sanitation of infected palms; soil mounding.

+0.2 t/ha

Restore 10-day harvest round

Current 10-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.

+0.2 t/ha

Moisture conservation

Spread EFB mulch (40 t/ha) in inter-rows; prioritise K to support drought tolerance.

+0.1 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate E blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB46

Estate · divisionEstate E · Division 2

Planted area33.4 ha

Planted year · age1999 · 27 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 305

Palm population4,671 (143/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)200 mm

Rainfall deficit−8% vs normal

Soil moisture0.30 m³/m³

Soil typeAlluvial

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield14.3 t/ha

Forecast yield14.1 t/ha

Target15.5 t/ha

Harvesting interval10 days

NDVI-like score0.67

Disease riskGanoderma 44%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 501 t vs budget 518 t (−3.3%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 12 Aug 2026 · water sector E-19

2.77%

0.157%

1.13%

0.27%

18.4ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-02-11	Ganoderma	Low	Census & marking
2026-06-03	Ganoderma	Moderate	Sanitation of 6 infected palms
2026-09-12	Ganoderma	Elevated	Drone survey scheduled