At Risk
Area38.5 ha
Age20 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Forecast22.5 t/ha
Gap−1.3%
Harvest round11 d
Ganoderma58%
NDVI0.68
Replant rank#5 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence92%
Predicted FFB
22.5
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
22.8
t/ha · budget
Gap
−1.3%
−0.3 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
22.5
Target
22.8
Actual (last 12 m)
22.7
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselineDisease / pest pressure
−0.5
Harvesting interval
−0.5
Palm age / maturity
−0.3
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
−0.1
Soil moisture
−0.1
Vegetation index (NDVI)
+0.0
Fertilizer timing
0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age20 yr (planted 2006)
Historical yield22.7 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)196 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)−3% vs normal
Temperature27.3 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.28 m³/m³
Fertilizer application1 round(s) late
Harvesting interval11 days
Planting density134 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)
Pest incidents3 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.68
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B12 is below plan
Confidence92%Forecast 22.5 vs 22.8 t/ha (−1.3%). Largest negative driver: Disease / pest pressure (-0.51 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.3 t/ha
Ganoderma census & sanitation
Field census within 7 days; isolate trenching and sanitation of infected palms; soil mounding.
2+0.3 t/ha
Restore 10-day harvest round
Current 11-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate B blocks · colour = health status
Loading map…
Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB12
Estate · divisionEstate B · Division 1
Planted area38.5 ha
Planted year · age2006 · 20 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Palm population5,009 (134/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)196 mm
Rainfall deficit−3% vs normal
Soil moisture0.28 m³/m³
Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield22.7 t/ha
Forecast yield22.5 t/ha
Target22.8 t/ha
Harvesting interval11 days
NDVI-like score0.68
Disease riskGanoderma 58%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 867 t vs budget 878 t (−1.2%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | late |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Ganoderma | Low | Census & marking |
| 2026-06-03 | Ganoderma | Moderate | Sanitation of 6 infected palms |
| 2026-09-12 | Ganoderma | Elevated | Drone survey scheduled |