Block B45 — 360° view

Estate E · Division 1 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

At Risk

Area38.2 ha

Age4 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 305

Forecast12.4 t/ha

Gap−1.6%

Harvest round10 d

Rhinoceros beetle61%

NDVI0.66

Replant rank#30 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence91%

Predicted FFB

12.4

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

12.6

t/ha · budget

Gap

−1.6%

−0.2 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

12.4

Target

12.6

Actual (last 12 m)

12.5

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

−2.9

Disease / pest pressure

−0.5

Harvesting interval

−0.3

Vegetation index (NDVI)

+0.2

Soil moisture

+0.1

Fertilizer timing

−0.1

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

−0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±1.0 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age4 yr (planted 2022)

Historical yield12.5 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)203 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)−1% vs normal

Temperature27.2 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.32 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval10 days

Planting density129 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsInceptisol

Pest incidents3 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.66

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B45 is below plan

Confidence91%

Forecast 12.4 vs 12.6 t/ha (−1.6%). Largest negative driver: Palm age / maturity (-2.85 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Rhinoceros beetle census & sanitation

Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.

+0.3 t/ha

Restore 10-day harvest round

Current 10-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.

+0.2 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate E blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB45

Estate · divisionEstate E · Division 1

Planted area38.2 ha

Planted year · age2022 · 4 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 305

Palm population4,778 (129/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)203 mm

Rainfall deficit−1% vs normal

Soil moisture0.32 m³/m³

Soil typeInceptisol

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield12.5 t/ha

Forecast yield12.4 t/ha

Target12.6 t/ha

Harvesting interval10 days

NDVI-like score0.66

Disease riskRhinoceros beetle 61%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 475 t vs budget 481 t (−1.3%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 12 Aug 2026 · water sector E-12

2.65%

0.157%

1.08%

0.28%

19.7ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-02-11	Rhinoceros beetle	Low	Census & marking
2026-06-03	Rhinoceros beetle	Moderate	Targeted spraying (trunk injection)
2026-09-12	Rhinoceros beetle	Elevated	Drone survey scheduled