Risk & Compliance Intelligence
Centralised operational risk · linked to live AI alerts, assets, estates and millsAll operations
Open risks
16
0 added from AI signals
Critical (score ≥ 15)
2
Board-level visibility
High (10–14)
6
Executive owner assigned
Rising trend
7
Exposure increasing
Avg risk score
9.8
Likelihood × impact (max 25)
Compliance due (30 d)
6
3 with evidence gaps / at risk
Category
Likelihood × Impact matrix
16 risks · click a cell to filter the register
Likelihood →
5 Almost certain
4 Likely
3 Possible
2 Unlikely
1 Rare
1 Minor
2 Moderate
3 Significant
4 Major
5 Severe
Impact →
low 1–4medium 5–9high 10–14critical 15–25
Risks by category
Count by rating · click a bar to filter
Risk heat trend
Aggregate exposure (Σ likelihood × impact) by category, last 6 months
| Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operational | 26 | 29 | 33 | 38 | 43 | 48 |
| Asset | 8 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 16 |
| Safety | 28 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 22 |
| Environmental | 16 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 24 |
| Supply Chain | 16 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
| Financial | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Compliance | 14 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 18 |
Operational, Environmental and Asset exposure rising into peak crop seasonBack-cast from trend
Enterprise risk register
16 of 16 risks · click a row for detail
Synthetic register · ratings illustrative
| Risk | Category | L×I | Owner · location | Mitigation | Evidence | Trend | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RSK-01 Unplanned sterilizer outage at Mill A (ST-04) | Asset | 16 | Mill A Manager Mill A | Bearing transfer from Mill B + planned replacement in low-intake window | Vibration trend, failure model 82% | Rising | |
RSK-05 Peat fire in Kalimantan dry season | Environmental | 15 | Sustainability Head Estates C & D | Canal water management, patrols, ERT readiness | Fire risk 81 (B24), hotspots nearby | Rising | |
RSK-02 OER erosion from crop quality & evacuation delays | Operational | 12 | Mill A Manager Mill A / Estates A, B, E | Dispatch optimisation, ripeness grading at CP | RCA — overripe 10.6%, H2M 26 h | Rising | |
RSK-03 Estate C production shortfall vs budget | Operational | 12 | Kalimantan Region Head Estate C | Harvester reallocation; round-interval control | Forecast −11% month-end | Rising | |
RSK-04 Ganoderma spread in Estate B (B17/B12) | Operational | 12 | Estate B Agronomist Estate B | Census, sanitation, soil mounding | Disease model 72% / 58% | Rising | |
RSK-09 PPE non-compliance in mill hot zones | Safety | 12 | HSE Manager Mill A & B | CV monitoring + supervisor coaching | 3 events awaiting review | Stable | |
RSK-11 CPO price downside (−10% scenario) | Financial | 12 | CFO Group | Forward sales policy; cost programme | Scenario model 90-day P10 | Stable | |
RSK-10 Vehicle–pedestrian interaction at loading ramps | Safety | 10 | HSE Manager Mill A ramp, CPs | Exclusion zones, spotters, proximity alerts | 2 proximity events this week | Easing | |
RSK-07 Critical spare-part single sourcing (bearings) | Supply Chain | 9 | Procurement Lead Group | Qualify second vendor; raise safety stock for class-A spares | Vendor concentration 78% | Stable | |
RSK-13 Methane emissions from open POME ponds (Mill B) | Environmental | 9 | Sustainability Head Mill B | Methane capture project feasibility | Biogas capture 0% at Mill B | Stable | |
RSK-06 Fertilizer supply disruption (Q4 round) | Supply Chain | 8 | Procurement Lead Warehouse 03 | Expedited PO, inter-warehouse transfer | Stockout prob 18% / 14 d | Stable | |
RSK-16 Buffer-zone encroachment (riparian) | Compliance | 8 | Sustainability Head Estate D north boundary | Boundary patrol, community engagement | Land-cover change 0.8 ha (synthetic satellite) | Stable | |
RSK-08 Weighbridge control weakness | Compliance | 6 | Internal Control Mill A | Anomaly review workflow; tare re-certification | 6 tickets flagged / 7 days | Stable | |
RSK-14 Sensor data gaps reducing model confidence | Operational | 6 | Head of Data Mill B SCADA | Gateway replacement; data-quality SLAs | Completeness 91.2% on MB-SCADA | Easing | |
RSK-15 Drainage failure / waterlogging (Estate D) | Operational | 6 | Estate D Manager Estate D sector D-14 | Outlet clearing; water-gate SOP | Soil moisture 0.46 | Rising | |
RSK-12 Procurement split-purchase pattern | Compliance | 4 | Procurement Compliance Mill A | Threshold review; automated PR aggregation | 7 POs below threshold | Rising |
AI emerging risks
Weak signals that may become register risks within 90 days
Early warning
OperationalConfidence82%
Mill A overripe share 6.1% → 10.6% in 7 days
→ Sustained OER loss & supplier grading disputes · source: FFB Grading (Vision) + OER model
71%likely in 90 d
Supply ChainConfidence77%
Bearing vendor lead time drifting 21 → 28 days
→ Class-A spare stockout during peak crop · source: Procurement lead-time monitor
62%likely in 90 d
EnvironmentalConfidence80%
Kalimantan rainfall deficit −34% and rising hotspot count
→ Escalated peat fire exposure & haze regulation · source: Weather + satellite hotspot feed
66%likely in 90 d
SafetyConfidence72%
Mill A maintenance overtime 24.8 h/month (above policy)
→ Fatigue-related incident during ST-04 bearing job · source: Workforce analytics (aggregate)
48%likely in 90 d
ComplianceConfidence74%
12% of third-party FFB volume lacks plot-level traceability
→ Deforestation-free market access restrictions · source: Supplier traceability register
54%likely in 90 d
Compliance calendar
Permits, certification audits, statutory inspections · next 60 days
Synthetic obligations
October 2026
02
4 d
Statutory boiler inspection — Boiler B-1
Statutory inspection · Mill A · Mill A Engineer
Inspector booked; water-treatment logs complete
On track
06
8 d
RSPO-style surveillance audit — Mill A supply base
Certification audit · Mill A + Estates A, B, E · Sustainability Head
3 of 41 evidence items missing (smallholder traceability)
Evidence gap
09
11 d
POME discharge permit — quarterly report
Regulatory report · Mill B · Mill B Environment Officer
BOD/COD lab results received
On track
14
16 d
ISPO-style certification renewal — document submission
Certification audit · Estate C · Estate C Manager
HGU map revision pending surveyor sign-off
At risk
20
22 d
Weighbridge metrology calibration
Calibration · Mill A · Internal Control
Linked to weighbridge control risk RSK-08
On track
27
29 d
Pressure-vessel certificate — Sterilizer ST-04
Statutory inspection · Mill A · Mill A Maintenance
Schedule after BR-6208 bearing replacement (30 Sep window)
At risk
November 2026
03
36 d
Peat fire-readiness inspection
Statutory inspection · Estates C & D · Sustainability Head
ERT drill completed 21 Sep
On track
12
45 d
Pesticide storage licence renewal — WH-04
Permit / licence · Estate C · Procurement Lead
Awaiting agency acknowledgement
Submitted
20
53 d
Environmental monitoring report (semester)
Regulatory report · Group · Sustainability Head
Air, water & biodiversity monitoring consolidated
On track