Healthy
Area36.2 ha
Age14 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Forecast29.2 t/ha
Gap+1.0%
Harvest round9 d
Nettle caterpillar9%
NDVI0.76
Replant rank#34 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence91%
Predicted FFB
29.2
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
28.9
t/ha · budget
Gap
+1.0%
+0.3 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
29.2
Target
28.9
Actual (last 12 m)
29.3
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.2
Soil moisture
−0.1
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
−0.1
Disease / pest pressure
−0.1
Vegetation index (NDVI)
−0.1
Fertilizer timing
0.0
Harvesting interval
0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age14 yr (planted 2012)
Historical yield29.3 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)210 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)−3% vs normal
Temperature27.3 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.26 m³/m³
Fertilizer application1 round(s) late
Harvesting interval9 days
Planting density143 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsAlluvial
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.76
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B50 is on plan
Confidence91%Forecast 29.2 vs 28.9 t/ha (+1.0%). Largest negative driver: Soil moisture (-0.13 t/ha). No material corrective action required; keep on standard programme.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate E blocks · colour = health status
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Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB50
Estate · divisionEstate E · Division 2
Planted area36.2 ha
Planted year · age2012 · 14 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Palm population5,153 (143/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)210 mm
Rainfall deficit−3% vs normal
Soil moisture0.26 m³/m³
Soil typeAlluvial
Drainagefair
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield29.3 t/ha
Forecast yield29.2 t/ha
Target28.9 t/ha
Harvesting interval9 days
NDVI-like score0.76
Disease riskNettle caterpillar 9%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 1,042 t vs budget 1,046 t (−0.4%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | late |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |