Block B48 — 360° view

Estate E · Division 2 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Healthy

Area30.6 ha

Age26 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Forecast15.8 t/ha

Gap−4.2%

Harvest round9 d

Nettle caterpillar27%

NDVI0.76

Replant rank#6 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence92%

Predicted FFB

15.8

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

16.5

t/ha · budget

Gap

−4.2%

−0.7 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

15.8

Target

16.5

Actual (last 12 m)

15.8

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

−1.9

Disease / pest pressure

−0.2

Soil moisture

+0.1

Vegetation index (NDVI)

−0.1

Fertilizer timing

+0.0

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

0.0

Harvesting interval

0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±1.1 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age26 yr (planted 2000)

Historical yield15.8 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)215 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)+7% vs normal

Temperature27.0 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.33 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval9 days

Planting density132 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.76

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B48 is below plan

Confidence92%

Forecast 15.8 vs 16.5 t/ha (−4.2%). Largest negative driver: Palm age / maturity (-1.87 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Nettle caterpillar census & sanitation

Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.

+0.1 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate E blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB48

Estate · divisionEstate E · Division 2

Planted area30.6 ha

Planted year · age2000 · 26 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Palm population3,985 (132/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)215 mm

Rainfall deficit+7% vs normal

Soil moisture0.33 m³/m³

Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)

Drainagefair

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield15.8 t/ha

Forecast yield15.8 t/ha

Target16.5 t/ha

Harvesting interval9 days

NDVI-like score0.76

Disease riskNettle caterpillar 27%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 486 t vs budget 505 t (−3.7%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 02 Sep 2026 · water sector E-14

2.63%

0.158%

1.11%

0.28%

14.1ppm · low

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check