Block B47 — 360° view

Estate E · Division 2 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Healthy

Area26.2 ha

Age16 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Forecast27.3 t/ha

Gap+1.1%

Harvest round8 d

Bagworm27%

NDVI0.74

Replant rank#40 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence94%

Predicted FFB

27.3

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

27.0

t/ha · budget

Gap

+1.1%

+0.3 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

27.3

Target

27.0

Actual (last 12 m)

27.3

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

+0.8

Harvesting interval

+0.3

Disease / pest pressure

−0.2

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

−0.1

Fertilizer timing

+0.1

Vegetation index (NDVI)

−0.1

Soil moisture

−0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±1.5 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age16 yr (planted 2010)

Historical yield27.3 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)204 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)−4% vs normal

Temperature27.3 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.29 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval8 days

Planting density139 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.74

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B47 is on plan

Confidence94%

Forecast 27.3 vs 27.0 t/ha (+1.1%). Largest negative driver: Disease / pest pressure (-0.24 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Bagworm census & sanitation

Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.

+0.1 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate E blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB47

Estate · divisionEstate E · Division 2

Planted area26.2 ha

Planted year · age2010 · 16 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Palm population3,593 (139/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)204 mm

Rainfall deficit−4% vs normal

Soil moisture0.29 m³/m³

Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield27.3 t/ha

Forecast yield27.3 t/ha

Target27.0 t/ha

Harvesting interval8 days

NDVI-like score0.74

Disease riskBagworm 27%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 704 t vs budget 708 t (−0.5%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 19 Aug 2026 · water sector E-07

2.66%

0.17%

0.25%

15.5ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check