Healthy
Area28.0 ha
Age25 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Forecast17.0 t/ha
Gap−2.9%
Harvest round10 d
Nettle caterpillar10%
NDVI0.79
Replant rank#4 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence89%
Predicted FFB
17.0
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
17.5
t/ha · budget
Gap
−2.9%
−0.5 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
17.0
Target
17.5
Actual (last 12 m)
16.9
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
−1.6
Harvesting interval
−0.3
Soil moisture
+0.2
Fertilizer timing
+0.2
Disease / pest pressure
−0.1
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
0.0
Vegetation index (NDVI)
0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age25 yr (planted 2001)
Historical yield16.9 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)225 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)+8% vs normal
Temperature27.0 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.37 m³/m³
Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time
Harvesting interval10 days
Planting density129 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsInceptisol
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.79
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B44 is below plan
Confidence89%Forecast 17.0 vs 17.5 t/ha (−2.9%). Largest negative driver: Palm age / maturity (-1.61 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.2 t/ha
Restore 10-day harvest round
Current 10-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate E blocks · colour = health status
Loading map…
Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB44
Estate · divisionEstate E · Division 1
Planted area28.0 ha
Planted year · age2001 · 25 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Palm population3,594 (129/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)225 mm
Rainfall deficit+8% vs normal
Soil moisture0.37 m³/m³
Soil typeInceptisol
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield16.9 t/ha
Forecast yield17.0 t/ha
Target17.5 t/ha
Harvesting interval10 days
NDVI-like score0.79
Disease riskNettle caterpillar 10%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 481 t vs budget 490 t (−1.8%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | on-time |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |