Block B43 — 360° view

Estate E · Division 1 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Healthy

Area39.7 ha

Age22 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Forecast20.3 t/ha

Gap−1.9%

Harvest round9 d

Bagworm8%

NDVI0.79

Replant rank#8 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence90%

Predicted FFB

20.3

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

20.7

t/ha · budget

Gap

−1.9%

−0.4 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

20.3

Target

20.7

Actual (last 12 m)

20.3

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

−0.8

Vegetation index (NDVI)

−0.1

Soil moisture

+0.1

Disease / pest pressure

−0.1

Fertilizer timing

−0.1

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

0.0

Harvesting interval

0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±1.8 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age22 yr (planted 2004)

Historical yield20.3 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)205 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)+2% vs normal

Temperature27.1 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.33 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval9 days

Planting density131 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.79

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B43 is below plan

Confidence90%

Forecast 20.3 vs 20.7 t/ha (−1.9%). Largest negative driver: Palm age / maturity (-0.83 t/ha). No material corrective action required; keep on standard programme.

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate E blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB43

Estate · divisionEstate E · Division 1

Planted area39.7 ha

Planted year · age2004 · 22 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Palm population5,180 (131/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)205 mm

Rainfall deficit+2% vs normal

Soil moisture0.33 m³/m³

Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield20.3 t/ha

Forecast yield20.3 t/ha

Target20.7 t/ha

Harvesting interval9 days

NDVI-like score0.79

Disease riskBagworm 8%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 802 t vs budget 822 t (−2.4%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 12 Aug 2026 · water sector E-17

2.66%

0.16%

0.96% · low

0.25%

16.8ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check