Block B42 — 360° view

Estate E · Division 1 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Healthy

Area36.1 ha

Age28 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Forecast14.5 t/ha

Gap+0.7%

Harvest round8 d

Bagworm27%

NDVI0.73

Replant rank#3 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence93%

Predicted FFB

14.5

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

14.4

t/ha · budget

Gap

+0.7%

+0.1 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

14.5

Target

14.4

Actual (last 12 m)

14.5

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

−2.4

Harvesting interval

+0.3

Disease / pest pressure

−0.2

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

−0.2

Fertilizer timing

+0.2

Soil moisture

+0.1

Vegetation index (NDVI)

−0.1

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±0.9 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age28 yr (planted 1998)

Historical yield14.5 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)201 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)−7% vs normal

Temperature27.4 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.33 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval8 days

Planting density137 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.73

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B42 is on plan

Confidence93%

Forecast 14.5 vs 14.4 t/ha (+0.7%). Largest negative driver: Palm age / maturity (-2.40 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Bagworm census & sanitation

Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.

+0.1 t/ha

Moisture conservation

Spread EFB mulch (40 t/ha) in inter-rows; prioritise K to support drought tolerance.

+0.1 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate E blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB42

Estate · divisionEstate E · Division 1

Planted area36.1 ha

Planted year · age1998 · 28 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Palm population4,879 (137/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)201 mm

Rainfall deficit−7% vs normal

Soil moisture0.33 m³/m³

Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield14.5 t/ha

Forecast yield14.5 t/ha

Target14.4 t/ha

Harvesting interval8 days

NDVI-like score0.73

Disease riskBagworm 27%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 514 t vs budget 520 t (−1.2%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 02 Sep 2026 · water sector E-10

2.63%

0.165%

1.14%

0.3%

19.2ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check