Healthy
Area38.1 ha
Age8 yr
VarietyPA-Tenera 305
Forecast26.6 t/ha
Gap−1.1%
Harvest round9 d
Rat damage9%
NDVI0.74
Replant rank#21 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence92%
Predicted FFB
26.6
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
26.9
t/ha · budget
Gap
−1.1%
−0.3 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
26.6
Target
26.9
Actual (last 12 m)
26.6
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.0
Disease / pest pressure
−0.1
Soil moisture
+0.0
Vegetation index (NDVI)
−0.0
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
0.0
Fertilizer timing
0.0
Harvesting interval
0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age8 yr (planted 2018)
Historical yield26.6 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)220 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)+4% vs normal
Temperature27.1 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.31 m³/m³
Fertilizer application1 round(s) late
Harvesting interval9 days
Planting density138 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsSpodosol (sandy)
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.74
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B37 is below plan
Confidence92%Forecast 26.6 vs 26.9 t/ha (−1.1%). Largest negative driver: Disease / pest pressure (-0.08 t/ha). No material corrective action required; keep on standard programme.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate D blocks · colour = health status
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Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB37
Estate · divisionEstate D · Division 2
Planted area38.1 ha
Planted year · age2018 · 8 yr
VarietyPA-Tenera 305
Palm population5,234 (138/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)220 mm
Rainfall deficit+4% vs normal
Soil moisture0.31 m³/m³
Soil typeSpodosol (sandy)
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield26.6 t/ha
Forecast yield26.6 t/ha
Target26.9 t/ha
Harvesting interval9 days
NDVI-like score0.74
Disease riskRat damage 9%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 1,009 t vs budget 1,025 t (−1.5%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | late |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |