At Risk
Area36.9 ha
Age16 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Forecast24.5 t/ha
Gap−5.4%
Harvest round11 d
Ganoderma14%
NDVI0.74
Replant rank#19 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence92%
Predicted FFB
24.5
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
25.9
t/ha · budget
Gap
−5.4%
−1.4 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
24.5
Target
25.9
Actual (last 12 m)
24.7
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+0.8
Harvesting interval
−0.5
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
−0.2
Vegetation index (NDVI)
+0.2
Disease / pest pressure
−0.1
Soil moisture
−0.1
Fertilizer timing
+0.1
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age16 yr (planted 2010)
Historical yield24.7 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)193 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)−8% vs normal
Temperature27.4 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.27 m³/m³
Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time
Harvesting interval11 days
Planting density128 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsShallow peat
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.74
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B36 is below plan
Confidence92%Forecast 24.5 vs 25.9 t/ha (−5.4%). Largest negative driver: Harvesting interval (-0.50 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.3 t/ha
Restore 10-day harvest round
Current 11-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.
2+0.1 t/ha
Moisture conservation
Spread EFB mulch (40 t/ha) in inter-rows; prioritise K to support drought tolerance.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate D blocks · colour = health status
Loading map…
Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB36
Estate · divisionEstate D · Division 2
Planted area36.9 ha
Planted year · age2010 · 16 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Palm population4,690 (128/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)193 mm
Rainfall deficit−8% vs normal
Soil moisture0.27 m³/m³
Soil typeShallow peat
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield24.7 t/ha
Forecast yield24.5 t/ha
Target25.9 t/ha
Harvesting interval11 days
NDVI-like score0.74
Disease riskGanoderma 14%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 950 t vs budget 956 t (−0.6%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | on-time |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |