Healthy
Area38.0 ha
Age12 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Forecast28.0 t/ha
Gap−2.8%
Harvest round8 d
Ganoderma9%
NDVI0.75
Replant rank#36 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence92%
Predicted FFB
28.0
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
28.8
t/ha · budget
Gap
−2.8%
−0.8 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
28.0
Target
28.8
Actual (last 12 m)
27.9
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.5
Harvesting interval
+0.3
Disease / pest pressure
−0.1
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
−0.1
Vegetation index (NDVI)
−0.0
Fertilizer timing
+0.0
Soil moisture
0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age12 yr (planted 2014)
Historical yield27.9 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)202 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)−2% vs normal
Temperature27.3 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.30 m³/m³
Fertilizer application1 round(s) late
Harvesting interval8 days
Planting density130 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.75
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B35 is below plan
Confidence92%Forecast 28.0 vs 28.8 t/ha (−2.8%). Largest negative driver: Disease / pest pressure (-0.08 t/ha). No material corrective action required; keep on standard programme.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate D blocks · colour = health status
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Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB35
Estate · divisionEstate D · Division 1
Planted area38.0 ha
Planted year · age2014 · 12 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Palm population4,918 (130/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)202 mm
Rainfall deficit−2% vs normal
Soil moisture0.30 m³/m³
Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield27.9 t/ha
Forecast yield28.0 t/ha
Target28.8 t/ha
Harvesting interval8 days
NDVI-like score0.75
Disease riskGanoderma 9%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 1,092 t vs budget 1,095 t (−0.3%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | late |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |