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Area26.4 ha
Age10 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Forecast26.0 t/ha
Gap−8.5%
Harvest round11 d
Ganoderma17%
NDVI0.75
Replant rank#18 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence88%
Predicted FFB
26.0
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
28.4
t/ha · budget
Gap
−8.5%
−2.4 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
26.0
Target
28.4
Actual (last 12 m)
25.9
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.4
Soil moisture
+0.5
Harvesting interval
−0.5
Fertilizer timing
+0.2
Disease / pest pressure
−0.1
Vegetation index (NDVI)
+0.0
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age10 yr (planted 2016)
Historical yield25.9 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)219 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)+2% vs normal
Temperature27.1 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.46 m³/m³
Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time
Harvesting interval11 days
Planting density135 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsAlluvial
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.75
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B34 is below plan
Confidence88%Forecast 26.0 vs 28.4 t/ha (−8.5%). Largest negative driver: Harvesting interval (-0.50 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.3 t/ha
Restore 10-day harvest round
Current 11-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.
Location & neighbours
Estate D blocks · colour = health status
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Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB34
Estate · divisionEstate D · Division 1
Planted area26.4 ha
Planted year · age2016 · 10 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Palm population3,534 (135/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)219 mm
Rainfall deficit+2% vs normal
Soil moisture0.46 m³/m³
Soil typeAlluvial
Drainagepoor
Water statusexcess
Yield & operations
Current yield25.9 t/ha
Forecast yield26.0 t/ha
Target28.4 t/ha
Harvesting interval11 days
NDVI-like score0.75
Disease riskGanoderma 17%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 725 t vs budget 750 t (−3.3%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | on-time |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |