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Area28.1 ha
Age13 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Forecast27.0 t/ha
Gap−4.9%
Harvest round10 d
Bagworm12%
NDVI0.73
Replant rank#20 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence92%
Predicted FFB
27.0
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
28.4
t/ha · budget
Gap
−4.9%
−1.4 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
27.0
Target
28.4
Actual (last 12 m)
27.1
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.4
Harvesting interval
−0.3
Fertilizer timing
+0.2
Disease / pest pressure
−0.1
Vegetation index (NDVI)
−0.1
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
−0.0
Soil moisture
+0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age13 yr (planted 2013)
Historical yield27.1 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)210 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)−1% vs normal
Temperature27.2 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.31 m³/m³
Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time
Harvesting interval10 days
Planting density134 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsShallow peat
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.73
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B32 is below plan
Confidence92%Forecast 27.0 vs 28.4 t/ha (−4.9%). Largest negative driver: Harvesting interval (-0.25 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.2 t/ha
Restore 10-day harvest round
Current 10-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate D blocks · colour = health status
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Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB32
Estate · divisionEstate D · Division 1
Planted area28.1 ha
Planted year · age2013 · 13 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Palm population3,743 (134/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)210 mm
Rainfall deficit−1% vs normal
Soil moisture0.31 m³/m³
Soil typeShallow peat
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield27.1 t/ha
Forecast yield27.0 t/ha
Target28.4 t/ha
Harvesting interval10 days
NDVI-like score0.73
Disease riskBagworm 12%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 769 t vs budget 798 t (−3.6%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | on-time |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |