Healthy
Area40.4 ha
Age12 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Forecast29.5 t/ha
Gap+2.4%
Harvest round9 d
Nettle caterpillar6%
NDVI0.75
Replant rank#23 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence91%
Predicted FFB
29.5
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
28.8
t/ha · budget
Gap
+2.4%
+0.7 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
29.5
Target
28.8
Actual (last 12 m)
29.5
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.5
Vegetation index (NDVI)
+0.1
Soil moisture
+0.1
Fertilizer timing
+0.1
Disease / pest pressure
−0.1
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
0.0
Harvesting interval
0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age12 yr (planted 2014)
Historical yield29.5 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)217 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)+1% vs normal
Temperature27.2 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.33 m³/m³
Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time
Harvesting interval9 days
Planting density130 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.75
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B31 is on plan
Confidence91%Forecast 29.5 vs 28.8 t/ha (+2.4%). Largest negative driver: Disease / pest pressure (-0.05 t/ha). No material corrective action required; keep on standard programme.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate D blocks · colour = health status
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Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB31
Estate · divisionEstate D · Division 1
Planted area40.4 ha
Planted year · age2014 · 12 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Palm population5,236 (130/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)217 mm
Rainfall deficit+1% vs normal
Soil moisture0.33 m³/m³
Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield29.5 t/ha
Forecast yield29.5 t/ha
Target28.8 t/ha
Harvesting interval9 days
NDVI-like score0.75
Disease riskNettle caterpillar 6%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 1,183 t vs budget 1,164 t (+1.7%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | on-time |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |