At Risk
Area34.9 ha
Age11 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Forecast24.4 t/ha
Gap−15.3%
Harvest round14 d
Bagworm18%
NDVI0.75
Replant rank#16 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence88%
Predicted FFB
24.4
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
28.8
t/ha · budget
Gap
−15.3%
−4.4 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
24.4
Target
28.8
Actual (last 12 m)
24.8
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.5
Harvesting interval
−1.2
Soil moisture
+0.2
Disease / pest pressure
−0.2
Fertilizer timing
+0.1
Vegetation index (NDVI)
−0.1
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age11 yr (planted 2015)
Historical yield24.8 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)232 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)+6% vs normal
Temperature27.0 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.36 m³/m³
Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time
Harvesting interval14 days
Planting density135 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.75
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B29 is below plan
Confidence88%Forecast 24.4 vs 28.8 t/ha (−15.3%). Largest negative driver: Harvesting interval (-1.24 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.7 t/ha
Restore 10-day harvest round
Current 14-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.
2+0.1 t/ha
Bagworm census & sanitation
Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate C blocks · colour = health status
Loading map…
Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB29
Estate · divisionEstate C · Division 2
Planted area34.9 ha
Planted year · age2015 · 11 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Palm population4,669 (135/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)232 mm
Rainfall deficit+6% vs normal
Soil moisture0.36 m³/m³
Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield24.8 t/ha
Forecast yield24.4 t/ha
Target28.8 t/ha
Harvesting interval14 days
NDVI-like score0.75
Disease riskBagworm 18%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 962 t vs budget 1,005 t (−4.3%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | on-time |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |