Healthy
Area40.0 ha
Age14 yr
VarietyPA-Tenera 305
Forecast28.4 t/ha
Gap+2.2%
Harvest round8 d
Bagworm25%
NDVI0.76
Replant rank#41 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence91%
Predicted FFB
28.4
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
27.8
t/ha · budget
Gap
+2.2%
+0.6 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
28.4
Target
27.8
Actual (last 12 m)
28.5
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.2
Harvesting interval
+0.3
Disease / pest pressure
−0.2
Vegetation index (NDVI)
−0.1
Soil moisture
+0.0
Fertilizer timing
+0.0
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age14 yr (planted 2012)
Historical yield28.5 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)230 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)+7% vs normal
Temperature27.0 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.31 m³/m³
Fertilizer application1 round(s) late
Harvesting interval8 days
Planting density128 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsSpodosol (sandy)
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.76
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B28 is on plan
Confidence91%Forecast 28.4 vs 27.8 t/ha (+2.2%). Largest negative driver: Disease / pest pressure (-0.22 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.1 t/ha
Bagworm census & sanitation
Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate C blocks · colour = health status
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Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB28
Estate · divisionEstate C · Division 2
Planted area40.0 ha
Planted year · age2012 · 14 yr
VarietyPA-Tenera 305
Palm population5,056 (128/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)230 mm
Rainfall deficit+7% vs normal
Soil moisture0.31 m³/m³
Soil typeSpodosol (sandy)
Drainagefair
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield28.5 t/ha
Forecast yield28.4 t/ha
Target27.8 t/ha
Harvesting interval8 days
NDVI-like score0.76
Disease riskBagworm 25%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 1,117 t vs budget 1,112 t (+0.5%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | late |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |