Healthy
Area37.2 ha
Age15 yr
VarietyPA-Tenera 201
Forecast26.1 t/ha
Gap−3.0%
Harvest round11 d
Nettle caterpillar16%
NDVI0.71
Replant rank#35 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence91%
Predicted FFB
26.1
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
26.9
t/ha · budget
Gap
−3.0%
−0.8 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
26.1
Target
26.9
Actual (last 12 m)
26.3
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.0
Harvesting interval
−0.5
Disease / pest pressure
−0.1
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
−0.1
Fertilizer timing
+0.1
Soil moisture
−0.0
Vegetation index (NDVI)
−0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age15 yr (planted 2011)
Historical yield26.3 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)205 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)−4% vs normal
Temperature27.3 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.29 m³/m³
Fertilizer application1 round(s) late
Harvesting interval11 days
Planting density143 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.71
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B26 is below plan
Confidence91%Forecast 26.1 vs 26.9 t/ha (−3.0%). Largest negative driver: Harvesting interval (-0.50 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.3 t/ha
Restore 10-day harvest round
Current 11-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate C blocks · colour = health status
Loading map…
Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB26
Estate · divisionEstate C · Division 2
Planted area37.2 ha
Planted year · age2011 · 15 yr
VarietyPA-Tenera 201
Palm population5,277 (143/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)205 mm
Rainfall deficit−4% vs normal
Soil moisture0.29 m³/m³
Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield26.3 t/ha
Forecast yield26.1 t/ha
Target26.9 t/ha
Harvesting interval11 days
NDVI-like score0.71
Disease riskNettle caterpillar 16%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 993 t vs budget 1,001 t (−0.8%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | late |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |