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Area30.9 ha
Age8 yr
VarietyPA-Tenera 305
Forecast27.3 t/ha
Gap+1.5%
Harvest round8 d
Bagworm24%
NDVI0.70
Replant rank#28 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence89%
Predicted FFB
27.3
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
26.9
t/ha · budget
Gap
+1.5%
+0.4 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
27.3
Target
26.9
Actual (last 12 m)
27.3
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.0
Harvesting interval
+0.3
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
−0.2
Disease / pest pressure
−0.2
Vegetation index (NDVI)
+0.1
Soil moisture
+0.0
Fertilizer timing
−0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age8 yr (planted 2018)
Historical yield27.3 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)191 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)−7% vs normal
Temperature27.4 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.31 m³/m³
Fertilizer application1 round(s) late
Harvesting interval8 days
Planting density130 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsSpodosol (sandy)
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.70
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B25 is on plan
Confidence89%Forecast 27.3 vs 26.9 t/ha (+1.5%). Largest negative driver: Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag) (-0.21 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.1 t/ha
Moisture conservation
Spread EFB mulch (40 t/ha) in inter-rows; prioritise K to support drought tolerance.
2+0.1 t/ha
Bagworm census & sanitation
Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate C blocks · colour = health status
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Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB25
Estate · divisionEstate C · Division 1
Planted area30.9 ha
Planted year · age2018 · 8 yr
VarietyPA-Tenera 305
Palm population3,969 (130/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)191 mm
Rainfall deficit−7% vs normal
Soil moisture0.31 m³/m³
Soil typeSpodosol (sandy)
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield27.3 t/ha
Forecast yield27.3 t/ha
Target26.9 t/ha
Harvesting interval8 days
NDVI-like score0.70
Disease riskBagworm 24%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 824 t vs budget 831 t (−0.8%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | late |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |