Block B23 — 360° view

Estate C · Division 1 · Kalimantan · supplies Mill B

Healthy

Area33.9 ha

Age15 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 305

Forecast26.0 t/ha

Gap−3.3%

Harvest round11 d

Nettle caterpillar15%

NDVI0.72

Replant rank#33 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence92%

Predicted FFB

26.0

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

26.9

t/ha · budget

Gap

−3.3%

−0.9 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

26.0

Target

26.9

Actual (last 12 m)

26.1

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

+1.0

Harvesting interval

−0.5

Vegetation index (NDVI)

+0.2

Disease / pest pressure

−0.1

Soil moisture

+0.1

Fertilizer timing

+0.1

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±1.9 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age15 yr (planted 2011)

Historical yield26.1 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)216 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)+6% vs normal

Temperature27.0 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.33 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval11 days

Planting density138 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsSpodosol (sandy)

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.72

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B23 is below plan

Confidence92%

Forecast 26.0 vs 26.9 t/ha (−3.3%). Largest negative driver: Harvesting interval (-0.50 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Restore 10-day harvest round

Current 11-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.

+0.3 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate C blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB23

Estate · divisionEstate C · Division 1

Planted area33.9 ha

Planted year · age2011 · 15 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 305

Palm population4,643 (138/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)216 mm

Rainfall deficit+6% vs normal

Soil moisture0.33 m³/m³

Soil typeSpodosol (sandy)

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield26.1 t/ha

Forecast yield26.0 t/ha

Target26.9 t/ha

Harvesting interval11 days

NDVI-like score0.72

Disease riskNettle caterpillar 15%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 900 t vs budget 912 t (−1.3%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 26 Aug 2026 · water sector C-10

2.49% · low

0.172%

1.01%

0.25%

19.7ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check