Block B19 — 360° view

Estate B · Division 2 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Healthy

Area29.4 ha

Age9 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 305

Forecast29.5 t/ha

Gap+2.1%

Harvest round9 d

Ganoderma17%

NDVI0.74

Replant rank#47 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence91%

Predicted FFB

29.5

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

28.9

t/ha · budget

Gap

+2.1%

+0.6 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

29.5

Target

28.9

Actual (last 12 m)

29.4

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

+1.2

Fertilizer timing

+0.2

Vegetation index (NDVI)

+0.2

Disease / pest pressure

−0.1

Soil moisture

+0.1

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

0.0

Harvesting interval

0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±2.4 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age9 yr (planted 2017)

Historical yield29.4 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)205 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)+2% vs normal

Temperature27.1 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.34 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval9 days

Planting density135 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsAlluvial

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.74

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B19 is on plan

Confidence91%

Forecast 29.5 vs 28.9 t/ha (+2.1%). Largest negative driver: Disease / pest pressure (-0.15 t/ha). No material corrective action required; keep on standard programme.

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate B blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB19

Estate · divisionEstate B · Division 2

Planted area29.4 ha

Planted year · age2017 · 9 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 305

Palm population3,935 (135/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)205 mm

Rainfall deficit+2% vs normal

Soil moisture0.34 m³/m³

Soil typeAlluvial

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield29.4 t/ha

Forecast yield29.5 t/ha

Target28.9 t/ha

Harvesting interval9 days

NDVI-like score0.74

Disease riskGanoderma 17%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 839 t vs budget 850 t (−1.3%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 02 Sep 2026 · water sector B-01

2.53%

0.168%

1.03%

0.31%

16.4ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check