Block B16 — 360° view

Estate B · Division 2 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Healthy

Area38.0 ha

Age17 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 305

Forecast25.5 t/ha

Gap−1.9%

Harvest round10 d

Bagworm27%

NDVI0.71

Replant rank#22 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence92%

Predicted FFB

25.5

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

26.0

t/ha · budget

Gap

−1.9%

−0.5 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

25.5

Target

26.0

Actual (last 12 m)

25.6

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

+0.5

Harvesting interval

−0.3

Disease / pest pressure

−0.2

Soil moisture

−0.1

Fertilizer timing

+0.1

Vegetation index (NDVI)

+0.1

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

−0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±1.8 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age17 yr (planted 2009)

Historical yield25.6 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)200 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)−1% vs normal

Temperature27.2 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.27 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval10 days

Planting density136 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.71

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B16 is below plan

Confidence92%

Forecast 25.5 vs 26.0 t/ha (−1.9%). Largest negative driver: Harvesting interval (-0.25 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Restore 10-day harvest round

Current 10-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.

+0.2 t/ha

Bagworm census & sanitation

Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.

+0.1 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate B blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB16

Estate · divisionEstate B · Division 2

Planted area38.0 ha

Planted year · age2009 · 17 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 305

Palm population5,098 (136/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)200 mm

Rainfall deficit−1% vs normal

Soil moisture0.27 m³/m³

Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield25.6 t/ha

Forecast yield25.5 t/ha

Target26.0 t/ha

Harvesting interval10 days

NDVI-like score0.71

Disease riskBagworm 27%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 966 t vs budget 988 t (−2.3%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 26 Aug 2026 · water sector B-18

2.75%

0.169%

1.07%

0.3%

18.5ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check