Block B15 — 360° view

Estate B · Division 1 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Healthy

Area34.6 ha

Age10 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Forecast29.3 t/ha

Gap−1.0%

Harvest round9 d

Ganoderma8%

NDVI0.77

Replant rank#46 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence94%

Predicted FFB

29.3

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

29.6

t/ha · budget

Gap

−1.0%

−0.3 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

29.3

Target

29.6

Actual (last 12 m)

29.2

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

+1.4

Soil moisture

+0.2

Vegetation index (NDVI)

−0.1

Disease / pest pressure

−0.1

Fertilizer timing

+0.0

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

0.0

Harvesting interval

0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±1.6 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age10 yr (planted 2016)

Historical yield29.2 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)216 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)+5% vs normal

Temperature27.1 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.37 m³/m³

Fertilizer application1 round(s) late

Harvesting interval9 days

Planting density131 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsInceptisol

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.77

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B15 is below plan

Confidence94%

Forecast 29.3 vs 29.6 t/ha (−1.0%). Largest negative driver: Vegetation index (NDVI) (-0.08 t/ha). No material corrective action required; keep on standard programme.

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate B blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB15

Estate · divisionEstate B · Division 1

Planted area34.6 ha

Planted year · age2016 · 10 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Palm population4,514 (131/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)216 mm

Rainfall deficit+5% vs normal

Soil moisture0.37 m³/m³

Soil typeInceptisol

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield29.2 t/ha

Forecast yield29.3 t/ha

Target29.6 t/ha

Harvesting interval9 days

NDVI-like score0.77

Disease riskGanoderma 8%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 1,026 t vs budget 1,024 t (+0.2%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 02 Sep 2026 · water sector B-11

2.77%

0.151%

1.03%

0.29%

16.3ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	late
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check