Block B14 — 360° view

Estate B · Division 1 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Healthy

Area32.8 ha

Age17 yr

VarietyDxP Line 7

Forecast24.6 t/ha

Gap−5.4%

Harvest round11 d

Bagworm21%

NDVI0.72

Replant rank#27 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence91%

Predicted FFB

24.6

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

26.0

t/ha · budget

Gap

−5.4%

−1.4 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

24.6

Target

26.0

Actual (last 12 m)

24.7

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Harvesting interval

−0.5

Palm age / maturity

+0.5

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

−0.2

Disease / pest pressure

−0.2

Soil moisture

+0.1

Vegetation index (NDVI)

+0.1

Fertilizer timing

+0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±2.0 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age17 yr (planted 2009)

Historical yield24.7 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)204 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)−7% vs normal

Temperature27.4 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.34 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval11 days

Planting density135 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsAlluvial

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.72

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B14 is below plan

Confidence91%

Forecast 24.6 vs 26.0 t/ha (−5.4%). Largest negative driver: Harvesting interval (-0.50 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Restore 10-day harvest round

Current 11-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.

+0.3 t/ha

Moisture conservation

Spread EFB mulch (40 t/ha) in inter-rows; prioritise K to support drought tolerance.

+0.1 t/ha

Bagworm census & sanitation

Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.

+0.1 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate B blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB14

Estate · divisionEstate B · Division 1

Planted area32.8 ha

Planted year · age2009 · 17 yr

VarietyDxP Line 7

Palm population4,382 (135/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)204 mm

Rainfall deficit−7% vs normal

Soil moisture0.34 m³/m³

Soil typeAlluvial

Drainagefair

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield24.7 t/ha

Forecast yield24.6 t/ha

Target26.0 t/ha

Harvesting interval11 days

NDVI-like score0.72

Disease riskBagworm 21%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 834 t vs budget 853 t (−2.2%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 19 Aug 2026 · water sector B-04

2.47% · low

0.158%

1.03%

0.27%

16.8ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check