Block B13 — 360° view

Estate B · Division 1 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Healthy

Area43.1 ha

Age10 yr

VarietyDxP Line 7

Forecast28.6 t/ha

Gap−3.4%

Harvest round11 d

Bagworm25%

NDVI0.72

Replant rank#32 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence93%

Predicted FFB

28.6

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

29.6

t/ha · budget

Gap

−3.4%

−1.0 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

28.6

Target

29.6

Actual (last 12 m)

28.8

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

+1.4

Harvesting interval

−0.5

Disease / pest pressure

−0.2

Soil moisture

+0.2

Vegetation index (NDVI)

−0.2

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

−0.1

Fertilizer timing

−0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±1.8 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age10 yr (planted 2016)

Historical yield28.8 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)197 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)−3% vs normal

Temperature27.3 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.35 m³/m³

Fertilizer application1 round(s) late

Harvesting interval11 days

Planting density131 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.72

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B13 is below plan

Confidence93%

Forecast 28.6 vs 29.6 t/ha (−3.4%). Largest negative driver: Harvesting interval (-0.50 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Restore 10-day harvest round

Current 11-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.

+0.3 t/ha

Bagworm census & sanitation

Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.

+0.1 t/ha

Drone canopy survey

Confirm canopy thinning cluster with multispectral flight.

+0.1 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate B blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB13

Estate · divisionEstate B · Division 1

Planted area43.1 ha

Planted year · age2016 · 10 yr

VarietyDxP Line 7

Palm population5,576 (131/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)197 mm

Rainfall deficit−3% vs normal

Soil moisture0.35 m³/m³

Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield28.8 t/ha

Forecast yield28.6 t/ha

Target29.6 t/ha

Harvesting interval11 days

NDVI-like score0.72

Disease riskBagworm 25%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 1,248 t vs budget 1,276 t (−2.2%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 26 Aug 2026 · water sector B-16

2.67%

0.149% · low

1.1%

0.3%

14.3ppm · low

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	late
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check