At Risk
Area33.9 ha
Age18 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Forecast24.5 t/ha
Gap−1.6%
Harvest round8 d
Ganoderma7%
NDVI0.63
Replant rank#26 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence94%
Predicted FFB
24.5
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
24.9
t/ha · budget
Gap
−1.6%
−0.4 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
24.5
Target
24.9
Actual (last 12 m)
24.7
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselineRainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
−0.9
Soil moisture
−0.4
Harvesting interval
+0.3
Palm age / maturity
+0.2
Vegetation index (NDVI)
+0.1
Fertilizer timing
+0.1
Disease / pest pressure
−0.1
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age18 yr (planted 2008)
Historical yield24.7 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)152 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)−29% vs normal
Temperature28.1 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.19 m³/m³
Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time
Harvesting interval8 days
Planting density142 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsAlluvial
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.63
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B08 is below plan
Confidence94%Forecast 24.5 vs 24.9 t/ha (−1.6%). Largest negative driver: Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag) (-0.88 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.5 t/ha
Moisture conservation
Spread EFB mulch (40 t/ha) in inter-rows; prioritise K to support drought tolerance.
2+0.2 t/ha
Water-table management
Close canal blocks to retain water; monitor soil moisture probes.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate A blocks · colour = health status
Loading map…
Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB08
Estate · divisionEstate A · Division 2
Planted area33.9 ha
Planted year · age2008 · 18 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Palm population4,797 (142/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)152 mm
Rainfall deficit−29% vs normal
Soil moisture0.19 m³/m³
Soil typeAlluvial
Drainagegood
Water statusdeficit
Yield & operations
Current yield24.7 t/ha
Forecast yield24.5 t/ha
Target24.9 t/ha
Harvesting interval8 days
NDVI-like score0.63
Disease riskGanoderma 7%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 846 t vs budget 844 t (+0.2%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | on-time |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |