Block B05 — 360° view

Estate A · Division 1 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Healthy

Area33.0 ha

Age14 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Forecast28.5 t/ha

Gap−1.4%

Harvest round11 d

Bagworm11%

NDVI0.77

Replant rank#37 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence91%

Predicted FFB

28.5

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

28.9

t/ha · budget

Gap

−1.4%

−0.4 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

28.5

Target

28.9

Actual (last 12 m)

28.6

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

+1.2

Harvesting interval

−0.5

Disease / pest pressure

−0.1

Soil moisture

+0.1

Vegetation index (NDVI)

−0.1

Fertilizer timing

−0.0

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±2.3 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age14 yr (planted 2012)

Historical yield28.6 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)224 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)+2% vs normal

Temperature27.1 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.32 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval11 days

Planting density128 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsAlluvial

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.77

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B05 is below plan

Confidence91%

Forecast 28.5 vs 28.9 t/ha (−1.4%). Largest negative driver: Harvesting interval (-0.50 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Restore 10-day harvest round

Current 11-day round increases loose fruit and overripe bunches; add 1 harvesting gang.

+0.3 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate A blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB05

Estate · divisionEstate A · Division 1

Planted area33.0 ha

Planted year · age2012 · 14 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Palm population4,201 (128/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)224 mm

Rainfall deficit+2% vs normal

Soil moisture0.32 m³/m³

Soil typeAlluvial

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield28.6 t/ha

Forecast yield28.5 t/ha

Target28.9 t/ha

Harvesting interval11 days

NDVI-like score0.77

Disease riskBagworm 11%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 952 t vs budget 954 t (−0.2%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 26 Aug 2026 · water sector A-17

2.54%

0.149% · low

0.28%

18.9ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check