Healthy
Area37.9 ha
Age13 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Forecast28.6 t/ha
Gap−3.4%
Harvest round9 d
Rat damage23%
NDVI0.74
Replant rank#25 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence89%
Predicted FFB
28.6
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
29.6
t/ha · budget
Gap
−3.4%
−1.0 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
28.6
Target
29.6
Actual (last 12 m)
28.6
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.4
Disease / pest pressure
−0.2
Vegetation index (NDVI)
−0.1
Soil moisture
+0.1
Fertilizer timing
+0.1
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
0.0
Harvesting interval
0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age13 yr (planted 2013)
Historical yield28.6 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)210 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)+1% vs normal
Temperature27.2 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.32 m³/m³
Fertilizer application1 round(s) late
Harvesting interval9 days
Planting density133 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsInceptisol
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.74
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B04 is below plan
Confidence89%Forecast 28.6 vs 29.6 t/ha (−3.4%). Largest negative driver: Disease / pest pressure (-0.20 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.1 t/ha
Rat damage census & sanitation
Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate A blocks · colour = health status
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Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB04
Estate · divisionEstate A · Division 1
Planted area37.9 ha
Planted year · age2013 · 13 yr
VarietyDxP Line 7
Palm population4,983 (133/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)210 mm
Rainfall deficit+1% vs normal
Soil moisture0.32 m³/m³
Soil typeInceptisol
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield28.6 t/ha
Forecast yield28.6 t/ha
Target29.6 t/ha
Harvesting interval9 days
NDVI-like score0.74
Disease riskRat damage 23%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 1,106 t vs budget 1,122 t (−1.4%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | late |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |