Healthy
Area32.6 ha
Age14 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Forecast30.5 t/ha
Gap+5.5%
Harvest round9 d
Bagworm29%
NDVI0.72
Replant rank#45 of 50
AI Yield Prediction
Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly
Confidence91%
Predicted FFB
30.5
t/ha · next 12 m
Target
28.9
t/ha · budget
Gap
+5.5%
+1.6 t/ha vs target
Predicted (next 12 m)
30.5
Target
28.9
Actual (last 12 m)
30.5
Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)
vs portfolio baselinePalm age / maturity
+1.2
Disease / pest pressure
−0.3
Fertilizer timing
+0.1
Soil moisture
−0.1
Vegetation index (NDVI)
−0.0
Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)
0.0
Harvesting interval
0.0
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Model features
13 inputs used for this prediction · current values
Palm age14 yr (planted 2012)
Historical yield30.5 t/ha (rolling 12 m)
Rainfall (30 d)210 mm
Rainfall lag (3-mo)+1% vs normal
Temperature27.2 °C mean max
Soil moisture0.28 m³/m³
Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time
Harvesting interval9 days
Planting density136 palms/ha
Soil characteristicsInceptisol
Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)
Vegetation indexNDVI 0.72
SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)
AI recommendations
Ranked by expected yield recovery
Why B03 is on plan
Confidence91%Forecast 30.5 vs 28.9 t/ha (+5.5%). Largest negative driver: Disease / pest pressure (-0.26 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.
1+0.2 t/ha
Bagworm census & sanitation
Census and targeted treatment above economic threshold.
Decision support — agronomist validation required
Location & neighbours
Estate A blocks · colour = health status
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Block attributes
Master data, sensors, satellite and field records
Identity & stand
Block IDB03
Estate · divisionEstate A · Division 1
Planted area32.6 ha
Planted year · age2012 · 14 yr
VarietyPA-Compact 12
Palm population4,369 (136/ha)
Water & soil
Rainfall (30 d)210 mm
Rainfall deficit+1% vs normal
Soil moisture0.28 m³/m³
Soil typeInceptisol
Drainagegood
Water statusnormal
Yield & operations
Current yield30.5 t/ha
Forecast yield30.5 t/ha
Target28.9 t/ha
Harvesting interval9 days
NDVI-like score0.72
Disease riskBagworm 29%
Historical FFB production
Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 937 t vs budget 942 t (−0.6%)
Fertilizer history
Applications last 12 months
| Date | Product | kg/palm | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-14 | NPK 12-12-17-2 | 2.00 | on-time |
| 2026-01-20 | Dolomite | 1.50 | on-time |
| 2026-03-18 | MOP (KCl) | 1.75 | on-time |
| 2026-06-24 | NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate | 2.25 | on-time |
Pest & disease history
Census, treatments and surveys
| Date | Pest / disease | Severity | Action taken |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Rat damage | Low | Barn owl nest box check |