Block B02 — 360° view

Estate A · Division 1 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

Healthy

Area29.3 ha

Age12 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Forecast29.7 t/ha

Gap−1.0%

Harvest round9 d

Ganoderma26%

NDVI0.70

Replant rank#29 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence90%

Predicted FFB

29.7

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

30.0

t/ha · budget

Gap

−1.0%

−0.3 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

29.7

Target

30.0

Actual (last 12 m)

29.8

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

+1.5

Disease / pest pressure

−0.2

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

−0.1

Soil moisture

−0.1

Fertilizer timing

+0.0

Vegetation index (NDVI)

+0.0

Harvesting interval

0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±2.7 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age12 yr (planted 2014)

Historical yield29.8 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)196 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)−3% vs normal

Temperature27.3 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.28 m³/m³

Fertilizer applicationAll rounds on time

Harvesting interval9 days

Planting density142 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsAlluvial

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.70

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B02 is below plan

Confidence90%

Forecast 29.7 vs 30.0 t/ha (−1.0%). Largest negative driver: Disease / pest pressure (-0.23 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Ganoderma census & sanitation

Field census within 7 days; isolate trenching and sanitation of infected palms; soil mounding.

+0.1 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate A blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB02

Estate · divisionEstate A · Division 1

Planted area29.3 ha

Planted year · age2014 · 12 yr

VarietyPA-Tenera 201

Palm population4,107 (142/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)196 mm

Rainfall deficit−3% vs normal

Soil moisture0.28 m³/m³

Soil typeAlluvial

Drainagegood

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield29.8 t/ha

Forecast yield29.7 t/ha

Target30.0 t/ha

Harvesting interval9 days

NDVI-like score0.70

Disease riskGanoderma 26%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 872 t vs budget 879 t (−0.8%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 02 Sep 2026 · water sector A-15

2.61%

0.166%

0.97% · low

0.28%

20.7ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	on-time
2026-06-24	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	on-time

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check