Block B01 — 360° view

Estate A · Division 1 · Sumatra · supplies Mill A

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Area33.7 ha

Age14 yr

VarietyPA-Compact 12

Forecast26.9 t/ha

Gap−6.9%

Harvest round9 d

Nettle caterpillar5%

NDVI0.71

Replant rank#31 of 50

AI Yield Prediction

Yield Prediction v4.1 · gradient-boosted trees · retrained monthly

Confidence90%

Predicted FFB

26.9

t/ha · next 12 m

Target

28.9

t/ha · budget

Gap

−6.9%

−2.0 t/ha vs target

Predicted (next 12 m)

26.9

Target

28.9

Actual (last 12 m)

27.2

Feature contribution (SHAP, t/ha)

vs portfolio baseline

Palm age / maturity

+1.2

Fertilizer timing

−0.6

Rainfall deficit (3-mo lag)

−0.3

Vegetation index (NDVI)

−0.1

Disease / pest pressure

−0.0

Soil moisture

−0.0

Harvesting interval

0.0

◀ lowers predictionraises ▶

Prediction interval ±2.4 t/ha (80%). Synthetic model output.

Model features

13 inputs used for this prediction · current values

Palm age14 yr (planted 2012)

Historical yield27.2 t/ha (rolling 12 m)

Rainfall (30 d)190 mm

Rainfall lag (3-mo)−9% vs normal

Temperature27.5 °C mean max

Soil moisture0.29 m³/m³

Fertilizer application2 round(s) late

Harvesting interval9 days

Planting density130 palms/ha

Soil characteristicsUltisol (clay loam)

Pest incidents1 logged (12 m)

Vegetation indexNDVI 0.71

SeasonalityPeak crop (Sep–Nov index 1.17)

AI recommendations

Ranked by expected yield recovery

Why B01 is below plan

Confidence90%

Forecast 26.9 vs 28.9 t/ha (−6.9%). Largest negative driver: Fertilizer timing (-0.63 t/ha). Recommended actions below are ranked by expected recovery.

Apply delayed K round

MOP 1.75 kg/palm + borate within 14 days; confirm NPK stock at WH-03.

+0.4 t/ha

Moisture conservation

Spread EFB mulch (40 t/ha) in inter-rows; prioritise K to support drought tolerance.

+0.2 t/ha

Decision support — agronomist validation required

Location & neighbours

Estate A blocks · colour = health status

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Block attributes

Master data, sensors, satellite and field records

Identity & stand

Block IDB01

Estate · divisionEstate A · Division 1

Planted area33.7 ha

Planted year · age2012 · 14 yr

VarietyPA-Compact 12

Palm population4,370 (130/ha)

Water & soil

Rainfall (30 d)190 mm

Rainfall deficit−9% vs normal

Soil moisture0.29 m³/m³

Soil typeUltisol (clay loam)

Drainagefair

Water statusnormal

Yield & operations

Current yield27.2 t/ha

Forecast yield26.9 t/ha

Target28.9 t/ha

Harvesting interval9 days

NDVI-like score0.71

Disease riskNettle caterpillar 5%

Historical FFB production

Monthly tonnes · 12 m actual 960 t vs budget 974 t (−1.5%)

Agronomy snapshot

Leaf analysis 19 Aug 2026 · water sector A-08

2.48% · low

0.163%

0.99% · low

0.3%

18.8ppm

Marker = critical leaf level (frond 17).

Fertilizer history

Applications last 12 months

Date	Product	kg/palm	Status
2025-10-14	NPK 12-12-17-2	2.00	on-time
2026-01-20	Dolomite	1.50	on-time
2026-03-18	MOP (KCl)	1.75	late
2026-07-29	NPK 12-12-17-2 + Borate	2.25	late

Pest & disease history

Census, treatments and surveys

Date	Pest / disease	Severity	Action taken
2026-04-22	Rat damage	Low	Barn owl nest box check