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ScopePeriod

AI Model & Decision Center

Model risk management · lifecycle · drift · approvals · responsible AI
Prototype model metrics — demonstration only.Models, metrics and lineage are simulated on synthetic data to illustrate governance — not validated production figures.

Model governance register

Every model has an owner, a documented training set, validation evidence and an approval record

Model IDVersionOwnerTraining datasetTraining periodFeaturesMetricsApprovalDeploymentLast validationDrift
MDL-YLD-041
Yield Prediction
v4.1.0Agronomy Data Science
Dr. R. Simanjuntak
Block production 2014–2026, weather, soil, fertilizer, NDVI
1.9 M block-months
Jan 2014 – Jun 202613 · palm age, historical yield, rainfall…
MAE
1.42 t/ha (R² 0.86)		Production
Approved — Agronomy Council
Batch · nightly · 50 blocks15 Sep 2026Stable
MDL-AFP-032
Asset Failure Prediction
v3.2.1Reliability Engineering
I. Setiawan
SCADA/IoT sensor streams, CMMS work orders, failure log
3.4 B sensor readings
Mar 2022 – Aug 202610 · vibration RMS, vibration spectrum bands, temperature…
AUC
0.91 (7-day horizon)		Production
Approved — Engineering
Streaming · edge gateway + cloud · 100 assets02 Sep 2026Stable
MDL-RUL-011
Remaining Useful Life
v1.1.0Reliability Engineering
I. Setiawan
Failure history + degradation curves
412 failure events
2019 – 20264 · health index, degradation slope, load…
C-index
0.78		Pilot
Pilot — Mill A & B
Pilot · Mill A & B20 Aug 2026Watch
MDL-OER-024
OER Prediction & Optimization
v2.4.0Mill Process Excellence
M. Tarigan
Mill lab results, SCADA, FFB grading, weighbridge
2,080 mill-days · 41 M SCADA points
Jan 2021 – Aug 20268 · FFB ripeness mix, harvest-to-mill time, sterilizer pressure/temperature…
MAE
0.18 pp OER		Production
Approved — Mill Ops
Near real-time · 15-min refresh · Mill A & B10 Sep 2026Watch
MDL-FFB-CV-013
FFB Quality Grading (Vision)
v1.3.2Vision & Edge AI
L. Hartono
48k annotated bunch images (loading ramp cameras)
48k annotated images
2024 – 20261 · image
mAP@0.5 / F1
0.87 / 0.84		Pilot
Pilot — Mill A ramp
Edge camera · Mill A ramp05 Sep 2026Stable
MDL-INV-018
Inventory Demand Forecast
v1.8.0Supply Chain Analytics
F. Gunawan
Goods issue history, work orders, fertilizer program
610k goods issues
2020 – 20265 · consumption history, fertilizer calendar, work order plan…
MAPE
11.4%		Production
Approved — SCM
Batch · daily · 200 SKUs01 Sep 2026Stable
MDL-SPP-012
Spare Parts Prediction
v1.2.0Supply Chain Analytics
F. Gunawan
BOM, asset failure predictions, stock ledger
BOM 8.2k lines
2023 – 20264 · failure probability, BOM, stock by warehouse…
Precision@10
0.82		Pilot
Pilot
Pilot · event-driven on failure alerts12 Sep 2026Stable
MDL-DIS-015
Disease & Pest Risk
v1.5.0Agronomy Data Science
Dr. R. Simanjuntak
Census records, drone imagery, weather, soil
96k census records · 1.1k drone tiles
2017 – 20267 · palm age, soil type, previous incidence…
AUC
0.83		Pilot
Pilot — Estate B/C
Pilot · weekly · Estate B/C28 Aug 2026Watch
MDL-FUEL-013
Fuel Anomaly Detection
v1.3.0Fleet Analytics
A. Rahman
GPS/telematics, fuel card, trip logs
2.3 M trips
2023 – 20265 · L/100km, idle minutes, route deviation…
Precision
0.79		Production
Approved — Logistics
Near real-time · per trip09 Sep 2026Stable
MDL-WB-021
Weighbridge Anomaly Detection
v2.1.0Internal Control Analytics
N. Putri
Weighbridge tickets, truck master, GPS
1.4 M tickets
2022 – 20265 · tare deviation, ticket timing, supplier-truck pair…
Review hit rate
41% confirmed issues		Production
Approved — Risk Committee
Near real-time · per ticket03 Sep 2026Stable
MDL-HVF-020
Harvest Forecasting & Scheduling
v2.0.1Estate Operations Analytics
A. Wijaya
Harvest records, bunch census, weather
720k harvest records
2019 – 20265 · bunch census, ripeness rate, weather…
MAPE
7.9%		Production
Approved
Batch · daily18 Sep 2026Stable
MDL-RTE-010
Harvest-to-Mill Dispatch Optimizer
v1.0.3Fleet Analytics
A. Rahman
GPS traces, CP readiness, mill intake
310k GPS trips
2025 – 20265 · CP volume, truck capacity, road condition…
Queue time ↓
−38% (simulation)		Pilot
Pilot — Sumatra
Pilot · Sumatra dispatch11 Sep 2026Stable
MDL-FIRE-011
Fire Risk
v1.1.0Sustainability Analytics
S. Maharani
Hotspot archive, weather, soil moisture, peat maps
11 yrs hotspot archive
2015 – 20266 · rainfall, temperature, humidity…
AUC
0.88		Production
Approved — Sustainability
Batch · 6-hourly14 Sep 2026Stable
MDL-CH4-010
Methane / Biogas Yield
v1.0.0Sustainability Analytics
S. Maharani
POME flow, COD, biogas meter
1,150 pond-days
2023 – 20264 · POME volume, COD, temperature…
MAPE
8.6%		Validation
Pending — Risk Review
Not deployed — awaiting risk review25 Aug 2026Stable
MDL-CPO-012
CPO Price Scenario
v1.2.0Commercial Analytics
K. Halim
Synthetic market indicators
Synthetic indicators 2016–2026
2016 – 20267 · soybean oil, crude oil, USD/IDR…
MAPE (30d)
5.8%		Pilot
Pilot — not for trading
Pilot · weekly · not for trading20 Sep 2026Watch
MDL-SAFE-014
Safety Vision (PPE / Proximity)
v1.4.0Vision & Edge AI
L. Hartono
Annotated CCTV frames (consented, anonymised)
210k annotated frames
2024 – 20261 · image
F1
0.86		Pilot
Pilot — HSE Committee
Edge · 14 cameras07 Sep 2026Stable
MDL-SEED-010
Seed Performance Prediction
v1.0.2R&D Breeding
Dr. P. Sembiring
Progeny trials, nursery records, environment
38k progeny records
2008 – 20265 · genetic line, environment, soil…
R²
0.74		Development
Research only
Research notebook01 Aug 2026Stable

Model lifecycle

Development → Validation → Business UAT → Technical UAT → Risk / Governance Review → Deployment → Monitoring → Retraining

1
Development
0
Validation
4
Business UAT
3
Technical UAT
1
Risk / Governance Review
0
Deployment
7
Monitoring
1
Retraining
OER Prediction & Optimization
MDL-OER-024 · v2.4.0
Retraining
Retraining 05 Oct 2026
Yield Prediction
MDL-YLD-041 · v4.1.0
Monitoring
15 Dec 2026
Asset Failure Prediction
MDL-AFP-032 · v3.2.1
Monitoring
02 Dec 2026
Inventory Demand Forecast
MDL-INV-018 · v1.8.0
Monitoring
01 Dec 2026
Fuel Anomaly Detection
MDL-FUEL-013 · v1.3.0
Monitoring
09 Dec 2026
Weighbridge Anomaly Detection
MDL-WB-021 · v2.1.0
Monitoring
03 Dec 2026
Harvest Forecasting & Scheduling
MDL-HVF-020 · v2.0.1
Monitoring
18 Dec 2026
Fire Risk
MDL-FIRE-011 · v1.1.0
Monitoring
14 Dec 2026
Methane / Biogas Yield
MDL-CH4-010 · v1.0.0
Risk / Governance Review
Risk Committee 07 Oct 2026
Remaining Useful Life
MDL-RUL-011 · v1.1.0
Technical UAT
20 Oct 2026
Spare Parts Prediction
MDL-SPP-012 · v1.2.0
Technical UAT
12 Oct 2026
CPO Price Scenario
MDL-CPO-012 · v1.2.0
Technical UAT
20 Oct 2026
FFB Quality Grading (Vision)
MDL-FFB-CV-013 · v1.3.2
Business UAT
05 Nov 2026
Disease & Pest Risk
MDL-DIS-015 · v1.5.0
Business UAT
28 Oct 2026
Harvest-to-Mill Dispatch Optimizer
MDL-RTE-010 · v1.0.3
Business UAT
11 Nov 2026
Safety Vision (PPE / Proximity)
MDL-SAFE-014 · v1.4.0
Business UAT
07 Nov 2026
Seed Performance Prediction
MDL-SEED-010 · v1.0.2
Development
Research review Q1 2027

Drift monitoring

Population Stability Index (PSI) of input features, weekly · Watch ≥ 0.10 · Drift ≥ 0.25

Drift interpretation
Confidence84%
OER Prediction PSI reached 0.18 (Watch) — the ripeness mix and harvest-to-mill distribution have shifted this month (overripe 10.6%). Accuracy is still within tolerance (MAE 0.18 pp) but retraining on the last 90 days is scheduled for 05 Oct 2026; the CPO scenario model is also on Watch after the biodiesel-policy regime change.

Approval & change log

Audit trail of governance decisions

DateModelEventByDecision
22 Sep 2026OER Prediction & Optimization
v2.4.0
Drift status raised to Watch (PSI 0.14 on ripeness mix)Model Monitoring ServiceRetraining scheduled
20 Sep 2026CPO Price Scenario
v1.2.0
Pilot extension — restricted to scenario planningRisk CommitteeApproved with conditions
15 Sep 2026Yield Prediction
v4.1.0
Quarterly back-test MAE 1.42 t/haAgronomy CouncilRe-validated
12 Sep 2026Spare Parts Prediction
v1.2.0
Technical UAT — linkage to failure alertsSupply Chain ITPassed
09 Sep 2026Fuel Anomaly Detection
v1.3.0
Threshold recalibration (false positives −18%)Logistics HeadApproved
03 Sep 2026Weighbridge Anomaly Detection
v2.1.0
Fairness & explainability review — no supplier-level bias foundInternal ControlApproved
02 Sep 2026Asset Failure Prediction
v3.2.1
Promoted to production after 90-day shadow runHead of EngineeringApproved
25 Aug 2026Methane / Biogas Yield
v1.0.0
Submitted to Risk / Governance ReviewSustainability AnalyticsPending
18 Aug 2026Safety Vision (PPE / Proximity)
v1.4.0
Privacy impact assessment — faces blurred at edgeData Protection OfficerApproved

Responsible AI checklist

8 of 10 controls in place

Human-in-the-loop approval for every recommendation
Action Center workflow; no autonomous execution
Explainability (SHAP drivers) shown with every prediction
Global + local explanations in all production models
Confidence and data-quality disclosure
Confidence suppressed below 0.70 → human review only
No automated employment decisions from workforce analytics
Aggregate analytics; individual events go to supervisor review
Anomalies labelled as risk indicators, not findings
Weighbridge, procurement, fuel
Privacy: CCTV faces anonymised at the edge
PIA approved 18 Aug 2026
Bias / fairness testing (suppliers, smallholders, crews) In progress
Complete for WB-021; pending for HVF-020
Drift monitoring with retraining triggers
PSI weekly · Watch ≥ 0.10 · Drift ≥ 0.25
Model cards & audit trail for every version In progress
15 of 17 model cards published
Market model restricted from trading use
CPO-012 scenario planning only
V-TEKI — IT & Business ConsultingDeveloped by V-TEKI · IT & Business ConsultingPrime Agri AI Intelligence Platform — prototype. All operational records are synthetic; model outputs are simulated; financial impacts are scenario estimates; recommendations require human validation. No actual company confidential data is used.