TR-031WARNINGCriticality BTruck AI-flagged
Manufacturer
Mandala Motors
Model
MX-130 HD
Location
Estate A
Commissioned
2018-07-15
Age
8 years
Operating hours
53,760 h
Utilization
76%
Availability (90 d)
95.2%
MTBF / MTTR
952 h / 5.2 h
Replacement cost
Rp 825.0 m
Sensors
temperature, oilCondition, rpm
Region
Sumatra
Health score
Predictive maintenance
Asset Failure Prediction v3.2 · gradient-boosted survival model on IoT, SCADA and CMMS history · refreshed 06:52
Confidence88%
Health score
69/100
Failure probability
41%7 days
Remaining useful life
20days
Anomaly score
0.600–1
Likely cause
Brake pad wear + coolant temp spikes
Recommendation
Workshop inspection this week
What the model sees
Confidence88%Brake pad wear + coolant temp spikes. Failure probability 41% over 7 days and RUL ≈ 20 days. Workshop inspection this week.
Why this prediction — top drivers (pp of failure probability)
Baseline failure rate for class ≈ 12% · bars push probability up or down
Temperature deviation
+16 pp
Oil condition index
+9.6 pp
Speed deviation
+6.3 pp
Age / operating hours
+2.0 pp
Recent preventive maintenance
−2.0 pp
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Sensor trends & failure forecast
60-day history (daily) · dashed = model forecast · anomaly began 14 Sep
Temperature · °C
Warning 78 · Alarm 88 °C
Maintenance Decision Intelligence
Weighs failure probability, criticality, downtime impact, repair vs replacement cost, spare availability and production schedule
Decision inputs
Failure probability (7 d)41%
CriticalityClass B
Downtime impactRp 6 m / h
Planned repair costRp 25 m
Replacement costRp 825.0 m
Spare availabilityTYR-TR-900: in local store
Production scheduleFlexible (estate fleet)
Option suitability
Schedule maintenance94
Fits next planned shutdown; balances risk and production
Monitor52
Risk too high to run without intervention
Replace component29
No single failing component identified
Repair now21
Low downtime cost, but unplanned mobilisation
Replace asset20
Health 69/100 and age 8 yrs do not justify capex
Scenario comparison
OPTION A
Repair immediately
Stop line now, replace component using emergency transfer
Failure risk2%
Expected costRp 59 m
Planned downtime4 h
Lowest risk, but takes the unit out of evacuation/field work immediately.
Recommended
OPTION B
Repair in low-production window
Replace at next planned shutdown
Failure risk14%
Expected costRp 28 m
Planned downtime4 h
Recommended — balances failure risk against production loss at the next planned shutdown.
OPTION C
Continue monitoring
Run to next scheduled shutdown (14 days)
Failure risk41%
Expected costRp 61 m
Planned downtime0 h
Expected cost dominated by probability-weighted unplanned outage.
Recommendation: Schedule maintenance
Confidence80%Workshop inspection this week. Option B expected cost Rp 28 m vs Rp 61 m if left to run; residual risk 14%.
Spare parts availability
Key parts for TR-031 across the warehouse network · home store WH-03
Cross-module: Inventory AI
TYR-TR-900 · Truck tyre 9.00-20
Lead time 10 d · Rp 3.6 m/pcs · 30-d demand 17
WH-03 · Estate B (home)
11 pcs · SS 3
WH-04 · Estate C
12 pcs · SS 3
FLT-TR-FUEL · Truck fuel filter
Lead time 7 d · Rp 240 k/pcs · 30-d demand 34
WH-03 · Estate B (home)
28 pcs · SS 4
WH-04 · Estate C
19 pcs · SS 4
BRK-TR-PAD · Truck brake lining set
Lead time 10 d · Rp 1.1 m/set · 30-d demand 9
WH-03 · Estate B (home)
6 set · SS 2
WH-04 · Estate C
11 set · SS 2
Maintenance records
CMMS history, open work orders, failure events and spares
| Work order | Type | Description | Created | Due | Technician | Cost | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WO-4428 | Predictive | AI-flagged: Brake pad wear + coolant temp spikes | 2026-09-28 | 2026-09-30 | Unassigned | — | Open |