PR-02WARNINGCriticality APress AI-flagged
Manufacturer
Pressindo
Model
SP-20 Twin
Location
Mill A · Pressing
Commissioned
2008-08-13
Age
18 years
Operating hours
100,976 h
Utilization
92%
Availability (90 d)
95.4%
MTBF / MTTR
1,219 h / 8.6 h
Replacement cost
Rp 2.88 bn
Sensors
current, pressure, vibration, temperature, rpm
Region
Sumatra
Health score
Predictive maintenance
Asset Failure Prediction v3.2 · gradient-boosted survival model on IoT, SCADA and CMMS history · refreshed 06:52
Confidence82%
Health score
71/100
Failure probability
46%7 days
Remaining useful life
24days
Anomaly score
0.640–1
Likely cause
Press screw wear — rising motor current at constant feed
Recommendation
Schedule screw & cone replacement at next planned shutdown
What the model sees
Confidence82%Press screw wear — rising motor current at constant feed. Failure probability 46% over 7 days and RUL ≈ 24 days. Schedule screw & cone replacement at next planned shutdown.
Why this prediction — top drivers (pp of failure probability)
Baseline failure rate for class ≈ 12% · bars push probability up or down
Motor current / load
+18 pp
Pressure variation
+11 pp
Vibration RMS trend
+7.1 pp
Age / operating hours
+4.5 pp
Temperature deviation
+4.2 pp
Speed deviation
+2.1 pp
Recent preventive maintenance
−4.0 pp
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Sensor trends & failure forecast
60-day history (daily) · dashed = model forecast · anomaly began 14 Sep
Motor current · % FLA
Warning 88 · Alarm 96 % FLA
No degradation trend — forecast shown only when the model detects a trajectory toward the failure threshold (forecast available for vibration & temperature).
Maintenance Decision Intelligence
Weighs failure probability, criticality, downtime impact, repair vs replacement cost, spare availability and production schedule
Decision inputs
Failure probability (7 d)46%
CriticalityClass A · production-critical
Downtime impactRp 165 m / h
Planned repair costRp 86 m
Replacement costRp 2.88 bn
Spare availabilitySCR-PR-15: in local store
Production schedulePeak crop · next shutdown Sun
Option suitability
Schedule maintenance98
Fits next planned shutdown; balances risk and production
Replace component44
No single failing component identified
Monitor44
Risk too high to run without intervention
Replace asset42
Asset 18 yrs — evaluate capex replacement
Repair now16
Stops the line during peak crop — restan and emergency premium
Scenario comparison
OPTION A
Repair immediately
Stop line now, replace component using emergency transfer
Failure risk2%
Expected costRp 502 m
Planned downtime4 h
Lowest risk, but interrupts peak-intake processing and creates restan.
Recommended
OPTION B
Repair in low-production window
Replace at next planned shutdown
Failure risk16%
Expected costRp 165 m
Planned downtime4 h
Recommended — balances failure risk against production loss at the next planned shutdown.
OPTION C
Continue monitoring
Run to next scheduled shutdown (14 days)
Failure risk46%
Expected costRp 749 m
Planned downtime0 h
Expected cost dominated by probability-weighted unplanned outage.
Recommendation: Schedule maintenance
Confidence80%Schedule screw & cone replacement at next planned shutdown. Option B expected cost Rp 165 m vs Rp 749 m if left to run; residual risk 16%.
Spare parts availability
Key parts for PR-02 across the warehouse network · home store WH-01
Cross-module: Inventory AI
SCR-PR-15 · Press screw set SP-15
Lead time 45 d · Rp 48.0 m/set · 30-d demand 1
WH-01 · Mill A (home)
1 set · SS 1
WH-02 · Mill B
7 set · SS 1
CONE-PR-15 · Press cone SP-15
Lead time 40 d · Rp 12.5 m/pcs · 30-d demand 1.1
WH-01 · Mill A (home)
6 pcs · SS 1
WH-02 · Mill B
7 pcs · SS 1
BR-6208 · Bearing 6208-2RS (sterilizer door drive / conveyor)
Lead time 21 d · Rp 1.9 m/pcs · 30-d demand 5
WH-01 · Mill A (home)
0 pcs · SS 2
WH-02 · Mill B
3 pcs · SS 2
Maintenance records
CMMS history, open work orders, failure events and spares
| Work order | Type | Description | Created | Due | Technician | Cost | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WO-4151 | Predictive | AI-flagged: Press screw wear | 2026-09-28 | 2026-09-30 | Unassigned | — | Open |