CV-03RUNNINGCriticality BConveyor
Manufacturer
Sinar Steel Works
Model
SC-600
Location
Mill A · FFB Reception
Commissioned
2020-04-15
Age
6 years
Operating hours
35,777 h
Utilization
82%
Availability (90 d)
97.6%
MTBF / MTTR
1,864 h / 3.7 h
Replacement cost
Rp 389.0 m
Sensors
current, vibration, rpm
Region
Sumatra
Health score
Predictive maintenance
Asset Failure Prediction v3.2 · gradient-boosted survival model on IoT, SCADA and CMMS history · refreshed 06:52
Confidence79%
Health score
87/100
Failure probability
8%7 days
Remaining useful life
198days
Anomaly score
0.110–1
Likely cause
No abnormal failure mode detected
Recommendation
Continue condition monitoring; next PM as scheduled
What the model sees
Confidence79%All monitored signals are within normal bands. Failure probability 8% over 7 days; continue condition monitoring and scheduled PM.
Why this prediction — top drivers (pp of failure probability)
Baseline failure rate for class ≈ 12% · bars push probability up or down
Motor current / load
+1.7 pp
Age / operating hours
+1.5 pp
Vibration RMS trend
+1.0 pp
Speed deviation
+0.7 pp
Recent preventive maintenance
−2.0 pp
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Sensor trends & failure forecast
60-day history (daily) · dashed = model forecast
Motor current · % FLA
Warning 88 · Alarm 96 % FLA
No degradation trend — forecast shown only when the model detects a trajectory toward the failure threshold (forecast available for vibration & temperature).
Maintenance Decision Intelligence
Weighs failure probability, criticality, downtime impact, repair vs replacement cost, spare availability and production schedule
Decision inputs
Failure probability (7 d)8%
CriticalityClass B
Downtime impactRp 165 m / h
Planned repair costRp 12 m
Replacement costRp 389.0 m
Spare availabilityCHN-CV-600: in local store
Production schedulePeak crop · next shutdown Sun
Option suitability
Monitor85
Failure risk low; condition monitoring sufficient
Schedule maintenance41
Fits next planned shutdown; balances risk and production
Replace asset9
Health 87/100 and age 6 yrs do not justify capex
Replace component6
No single failing component identified
Repair now2
Stops the line during peak crop — restan and emergency premium
Scenario comparison
OPTION A
Repair immediately
Stop line now, replace component using emergency transfer
Failure risk2%
Expected costRp 428 m
Planned downtime4 h
Lowest risk, but interrupts peak-intake processing and creates restan.
OPTION B
Repair in low-production window
Replace at next planned shutdown
Failure risk3%
Expected costRp 91 m
Planned downtime4 h
Balances failure risk against production loss at the next planned shutdown.
Recommended
OPTION C
Continue monitoring
Run to next scheduled shutdown (14 days)
Failure risk8%
Expected costRp 60 m
Planned downtime0 h
Recommended — risk is low; keep condition monitoring and standard PM.
Recommendation: Monitor
Confidence80%Continue condition monitoring; next PM as scheduled. Option C expected cost Rp 60 m vs Rp 60 m if left to run; residual risk 8%.
Spare parts availability
Key parts for CV-03 across the warehouse network · home store WH-01
Cross-module: Inventory AI
CHN-CV-600 · Scraper conveyor chain (per m)
Lead time 21 d · Rp 2.3 m/m · 30-d demand 11
WH-01 · Mill A (home)
15 m · SS 4
WH-02 · Mill B
19 m · SS 4
GBX-CV-30 · GBX-CV-30
Lead time 14 d · Rp 0/pcs
Not stocked — procured on demand.
BR-6208 · Bearing 6208-2RS (sterilizer door drive / conveyor)
Lead time 21 d · Rp 1.9 m/pcs · 30-d demand 5
WH-01 · Mill A (home)
0 pcs · SS 2
WH-02 · Mill B
3 pcs · SS 2
Maintenance records
CMMS history, open work orders, failure events and spares
No open work orders — asset on standard PM schedule.