CL-02RUNNINGCriticality BClarifier
Manufacturer
Sinar Steel Works
Model
CCT-90
Location
Mill A · Clarification
Commissioned
2017-03-18
Age
9 years
Operating hours
49,417 h
Utilization
79%
Availability (90 d)
97.1%
MTBF / MTTR
5,009 h / 5.1 h
Replacement cost
Rp 1.68 bn
Sensors
temperature, current
Region
Sumatra
Health score
Predictive maintenance
Asset Failure Prediction v3.2 · gradient-boosted survival model on IoT, SCADA and CMMS history · refreshed 06:52
Confidence83%
Health score
86/100
Failure probability
13%7 days
Remaining useful life
171days
Anomaly score
0.150–1
Likely cause
No abnormal failure mode detected
Recommendation
Continue condition monitoring; next PM as scheduled
What the model sees
Confidence83%All monitored signals are within normal bands. Failure probability 13% over 7 days; continue condition monitoring and scheduled PM.
Why this prediction — top drivers (pp of failure probability)
Baseline failure rate for class ≈ 12% · bars push probability up or down
Temperature deviation
+3.8 pp
Motor current / load
+2.3 pp
Age / operating hours
+2.3 pp
Recent preventive maintenance
−4.0 pp
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Sensor trends & failure forecast
60-day history (daily) · dashed = model forecast
Temperature · °C
Warning 78 · Alarm 88 °C
No degradation trend — forecast shown only when the model detects a trajectory toward the failure threshold.
Maintenance Decision Intelligence
Weighs failure probability, criticality, downtime impact, repair vs replacement cost, spare availability and production schedule
Decision inputs
Failure probability (7 d)13%
CriticalityClass B
Downtime impactRp 165 m / h
Planned repair costRp 50 m
Replacement costRp 1.68 bn
Spare availabilityAGT-CL-2: not in stock — procure
Production schedulePeak crop · next shutdown Sun
Option suitability
Monitor80
Failure risk low; condition monitoring sufficient
Schedule maintenance49
Fits next planned shutdown; balances risk and production
Replace asset16
Health 86/100 and age 9 yrs do not justify capex
Repair now2
Stops the line during peak crop — restan and emergency premium
Replace component2
No single failing component identified
Scenario comparison
OPTION A
Repair immediately
Stop line now, replace component using emergency transfer
Failure risk2%
Expected costRp 466 m
Planned downtime4 h
Lowest risk, but interrupts peak-intake processing and creates restan.
OPTION B
Repair in low-production window
Replace at next planned shutdown
Failure risk5%
Expected costRp 129 m
Planned downtime4 h
Balances failure risk against production loss at the next planned shutdown.
Recommended
OPTION C
Continue monitoring
Run to next scheduled shutdown (14 days)
Failure risk13%
Expected costRp 112 m
Planned downtime0 h
Recommended — risk is low; keep condition monitoring and standard PM.
Recommendation: Monitor
Confidence80%Continue condition monitoring; next PM as scheduled. Option C expected cost Rp 112 m vs Rp 112 m if left to run; residual risk 13%.
Spare parts availability
Key parts for CL-02 across the warehouse network · home store WH-01
Cross-module: Inventory AI
AGT-CL-2 · AGT-CL-2
Lead time 14 d · Rp 0/pcs
Not stocked — procured on demand.
Maintenance records
CMMS history, open work orders, failure events and spares
No open work orders — asset on standard PM schedule.