CL-01RUNNINGCriticality BClarifier
Manufacturer
Sinar Steel Works
Model
CCT-90
Location
Mill A · Clarification
Commissioned
2007-09-17
Age
19 years
Operating hours
108,920 h
Utilization
92%
Availability (90 d)
96.6%
MTBF / MTTR
4,516 h / 4.7 h
Replacement cost
Rp 1.51 bn
Sensors
temperature, current
Region
Sumatra
Health score
Predictive maintenance
Asset Failure Prediction v3.2 · gradient-boosted survival model on IoT, SCADA and CMMS history · refreshed 06:52
Confidence85%
Health score
78/100
Failure probability
16%7 days
Remaining useful life
185days
Anomaly score
0.270–1
Likely cause
No abnormal failure mode detected
Recommendation
Continue condition monitoring; next PM as scheduled
What the model sees
Confidence85%All monitored signals are within normal bands. Failure probability 16% over 7 days; continue condition monitoring and scheduled PM.
Why this prediction — top drivers (pp of failure probability)
Baseline failure rate for class ≈ 12% · bars push probability up or down
Temperature deviation
+5.0 pp
Age / operating hours
+4.8 pp
Motor current / load
+3.1 pp
Recent preventive maintenance
−2.0 pp
◀ lowers predictionraises ▶
Sensor trends & failure forecast
60-day history (daily) · dashed = model forecast · anomaly began 14 Sep
Temperature · °C
Warning 78 · Alarm 88 °C
Maintenance Decision Intelligence
Weighs failure probability, criticality, downtime impact, repair vs replacement cost, spare availability and production schedule
Decision inputs
Failure probability (7 d)16%
CriticalityClass B
Downtime impactRp 165 m / h
Planned repair costRp 45 m
Replacement costRp 1.51 bn
Spare availabilityAGT-CL-2: not in stock — procure
Production schedulePeak crop · next shutdown Sun
Option suitability
Monitor77
Failure risk low; condition monitoring sufficient
Schedule maintenance54
Fits next planned shutdown; balances risk and production
Replace asset42
Asset 19 yrs — evaluate capex replacement
Repair now2
Stops the line during peak crop — restan and emergency premium
Replace component2
No single failing component identified
Scenario comparison
OPTION A
Repair immediately
Stop line now, replace component using emergency transfer
Failure risk2%
Expected costRp 461 m
Planned downtime4 h
Lowest risk, but interrupts peak-intake processing and creates restan.
OPTION B
Repair in low-production window
Replace at next planned shutdown
Failure risk6%
Expected costRp 124 m
Planned downtime4 h
Balances failure risk against production loss at the next planned shutdown.
Recommended
OPTION C
Continue monitoring
Run to next scheduled shutdown (14 days)
Failure risk16%
Expected costRp 135 m
Planned downtime0 h
Recommended — risk is low; keep condition monitoring and standard PM.
Recommendation: Monitor
Confidence80%Continue condition monitoring; next PM as scheduled. Option C expected cost Rp 135 m vs Rp 135 m if left to run; residual risk 16%.
Spare parts availability
Key parts for CL-01 across the warehouse network · home store WH-01
Cross-module: Inventory AI
AGT-CL-2 · AGT-CL-2
Lead time 14 d · Rp 0/pcs
Not stocked — procured on demand.
Maintenance records
CMMS history, open work orders, failure events and spares
No open work orders — asset on standard PM schedule.